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VanEck
2026-10-03 09:44:26

VanEck says Bitcoin miners’ power contracts are gaining value as AI demand rises, while quantum computing is not yet a reason to sell BTC

VanEck’s head of digital assets research, Matthew Sigel, said in an interview on Oct. 3 that the rapid buildout of the artificial intelligence industry is changing how the market values Bitcoin mining companies. In his view, miners are no longer judged only by hash rate and BTC production capacity. Their access to power, especially long-term contracted supply, is becoming more valuable as AI data centers compete for large amounts of stable electricity. Sigel said some miners have signed 10- to 20-year power lease agreements with investment-grade counterparties, and that these contracts give them an element of optionality beyond straightforward Bitcoin exposure. He added that electricity is becoming a scarcer resource as AI expands, which could open new business paths for miners with low-cost, long-duration power arrangements, including a shift toward AI infrastructure. On the market side, Sigel said Bitcoin is showing signs of seller fatigue and that investors should watch for opportunities after pullbacks. He also compared Bitcoin and gold in portfolio construction, arguing that Bitcoin could still gain a larger share over time. As for quantum computing, he described it as a long-term risk worth monitoring, but not one that currently justifies selling BTC. VanEck remains positive on long-term Bitcoin adoption and sees Bitcoin reaching a portion of gold’s market value as one possible valuation reference.

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JPMorgan
2026-09-28 09:14:18

JPMorgan says U.S. corporate financing surplus is near historic highs, with buybacks supporting equities and Bitcoin back above production cost

JPMorgan said in its Sept. 24, 2026 flows and liquidity report that the U.S. corporate sector’s financing surplus in the second quarter was close to 2% of GDP, one of the highest non-crisis readings since data began in 1952. The bank said non-financial corporates posted a surplus of about 1.5%, the highest non-crisis level since 1958, as cash-flow growth outpaced capital spending and reduced the need for external financing. According to JPMorgan analyst Nikolaos Panigirtzoglou, AI-related capital expenditure remains strong, but the aggregate pace of capex has been held back by weakness outside concentrated areas such as data centers. The bank argued that the late-1990s style capex excess has not yet reappeared in the broad data, while corporate savings continue to flow mainly into share buybacks. JPMorgan expects global buybacks to reach $1.7 trillion in 2026, including $1.3 trillion from U.S. companies. On crypto, the report said Bitcoin had spent 280 days below its estimated production cost before recently moving back above that level. JPMorgan estimated the average cost to mine one Bitcoin at about $85,000, adding that a sustained move above that threshold would ease pressure on miners and reduce the risk of forced selling. The bank also said network hashrate and mining difficulty are down about 19% and 15% from their peaks in October last year as miners increasingly shift toward AI-related business.

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JPMorgan says U.S. corporate financing surplus is near historic highs, with buybacks supporting equities and Bitcoin back above production cost
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Bitcoin
2026-09-10 06:42:00

Bitcoin Climbs 22%, but Mining Stocks Lag as AI Pivot Fails to Deliver a Fresh Re-rating

Bitcoin has rebounded sharply since Aug. 17, rising about 22%, yet listed mining companies have not responded the way they often did in earlier rallies. Data cited from The Block shows that among 11 bitcoin miners and related firms it tracked, only Canaan outperformed BTC, while the median return for the rest was just 1.8%. Core Scientific and TeraWulf, despite reporting meaningful data center revenue tied to AI and high-performance computing, still trailed bitcoin by roughly 27 and 24 percentage points. The gap points to a change in how the market prices these companies. Miners were once treated as leveraged bitcoin plays because higher BTC prices could expand profits faster than costs moved. That framework weakens once companies shift toward AI data centers, where investors weigh construction spending, financing costs, customer quality, equipment supply, grid access, and delivery risk. Core Scientific, for example, posted $136.7 million in second-quarter data center hosting revenue and said 437MW had started billing by mid-July, while TeraWulf said HPC data center leasing made up more than 70% of its quarterly revenue. Even so, their shares did not keep pace with bitcoin. The article argues that the AI shift has not failed. Instead, the easy valuation premium may be fading as investors now want live megawatts, real AI revenue, and free cash flow after heavy capital spending.

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Bitcoin Climbs 22%, but Mining Stocks Lag as AI Pivot Fails to Deliver a Fresh Re-rating